2014
Publications
Submitted
Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor and M. H. England, Optimal forcing of ENSO either side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability, submitted to Climate Dynamics.
McGregor, S., P. Spence, F. U. Schwarzkopf, M. H. England, A. Santoso, W. S. Kessler, A. Timmermann, C. W. Böning, ENSO driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports, submitted to Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann and S. McGregor, Combination Mode Dynamics of the anomalous North-West Pacific Anticyclone, submitted to Journal of Climate.
L. M. Frankcombe, S. McGregor and M. H. England, Robustness of the modes of Indo-Pacific sea level variability, submitted to Climate Dynamics.
Published/In Press
24. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. F. Stuecker, M. H. England, M. Merrifield, F.-F. Jin, Y. Chikamoto, 2014: Recent Walker Circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming, Nature Climate Change (in press).
23. England, M. H., S. McGregor, P. Spence, G. A. Meehl, A. Timmermann, W. Cai, A. Sen Gupta, M. J. McPhaden, A. Purich and A. Santoso, 2014: Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus, Nature Climate Change, 4, 222-227, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2106.
22. Simpkins, G. R., S. McGregor, A. S. Taschetto, L. M. Ciasto, and M. H. England, 2014: Tropical Connections to Climatic Change in the Extratropical Southern Hemisphere: The Role of Atlantic SST Trends. Journal of Climate, 27, 4923-4936. (Abstract) (Full text)
21. Widlansky, M.J., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M.F. Stuecker, and W. Cai, 2014: An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa. J. Climate, 27 (3), 1070-1081, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1. (Abstract) (Full text).
20. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. H. England, O. Elison Timm and A. T. Wittenberg, 2013: Inferred changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries. Climate of the Past , 9, 2269-2284, doi:10.5194/cp-9-2269-2013. (Abstract) (Full text).
19. Santoso, A., S. McGregor, F.-F. Jin, W. Cai, M. England, S.-I. An, M. McPhaden, and E. Guilyardi, 2013: Emergence of El Niño propagation asymmetry in recent decades and future implications. Nature 504, 126-130, doi:10.1038/nature12683. (Full text)
18. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, S. McGregor, H.-L. Ren, 2013: A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/NGEO1826.(Abstract) (Full text).
17. Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2013: The 1970's shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective, Geophysical Research Letters (in press). (Abstract) (Full text).
16. McGregor, S., N. Ramesh, P. Spence, M. H. England, M. J. McPhaden and A. Santoso, 2013: Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination, Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1–6, doi:10.1002/grl.50136. (Abstract) (Full text).
15. Widlansky, M. J., A. Timmermann, K. Stein, S. McGregor, N. Schneider, M. H. England, M. Lengaigne, and W. Cai, 2012: Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate, Nature Climate Change doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1726 (Abstract) (Full text).
14. McGregor, S., A. Sen Gupta, and M. England, 2012: Constraining wind stress products with sea surface height observations and implications for Pacific Ocean sea-level trend attribution. Journal of Climate 25, 8164–8176, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00105.1 (Abstract) (Full text)
13. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, M. Stuecker, and M. England, 2012: The effect of the South Pacific Convergence Zone on the termination of El Niño events and the meridional asymmetry of ENSO, Journal of Climate, 25, 5566–5586, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00332.1 (Abstract)
12. Sen Gupta, A., A. Ganachaud, S. McGregor, J. N. Brown, and L. Muir, 2012: Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09605, doi:10.1029/2012GL051447. (Abstract)
11. Tokinaga, H., S.-P. Xie, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, T. Ogata, H. Kubota and Y. M. Okumura, 2012: Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening. Journal of Climate, 25, 1689-1710. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00263.1. (Abstract)
10. Gergis,J., A. J. E. Gallant, K. Braganza, D. J. Karoly, K. Allen, L. Cullen, R. D’Arrigo, I. Goodwin, P. Grierson and S. McGregor, 2011: On the long-term context of the 1997–2009 ‘Big Dry’ in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction. Climatic Change, 1-22. doi.10.1007/s10584-011-0263-x. (Abstract) (Full text)
9. McGregor, S., and A. Timmermann, 2011: The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO, Journal of Climate, 24, 2178-2191. (Abstract)
8. Timmermann, A., S. McGregor and F. Jin, 2010: Wind effects on past and future regional sea-level trends in the southern Indo-Pacific, Journal of Climate, 23, 4429-4437. (Abstract)
7. Holbrook, N. J., I. D. Goodwin, S. McGregor, E. Molina and S. B. Power 2010: ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism, Deep Sea Research II, 58, 547-558. (Abstract)
6. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann and O. Timm, 2010: A unified proxy for ENSO variability since 1650. Climate of the Past, 6, 1-17. (Abstract) (Full text)
5. McGregor, S., A. Sen Gupta, N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2009: The Modulation of ENSO Variability in CCSM3 by Extratropical Rossby Waves, Journal of Climate, 22, 5839-5383. (Abstract)
4. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2009: The response of a stochastically forced ENSO model to observed off-equatorial wind-stress forcing. Journal of Climate, 22, 2512-2528. (Abstract)
3. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2008: Interdecadal sea surface temperature variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part II: the role of equatorial/offequatorial wind stresses in a hybrid coupled model. Journal of Climate, 21, 4242-4251. (Abstract)
2. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2007: Interdecadal sea surface temperature variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part I: the role o f off-equatorial wind stresses and oceanic Rossby waves. Journal of Climate, 20, 2643-2658. (Abstract)
1. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2004: On the dynamics of interdecadal thermocline depth and sea surface temperature variability in the low to mid-latitude Pacific Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, 10.1029/2004GL021241.